Evolving Thoughts

New book on climate and human evolution

March 10, 2010 · Leave a Comment

I hope this works and WordPress doesn’t strip out the HTML code [later note: It did]. This looks like an interesting book, although its evolutionary tree is a bit old fashioned, almost Haeckelian.

→ Leave a CommentCategories: Biology · Evolution · Species and systematics

On knowledge and consistency

March 10, 2010 · 8 Comments

Well, the cat and the pigeons are having a field day, although it is open yet to interpretation which are the cats and which the pigeons.

Josh Rosenau’s post, which I approvingly cited and riffed off, has led to a number of critical blog posts in the ongoing accommodationism war. I say war and not debate because the matter has rarely been civilly debated, but I am in fact rather impressed at the overall civility of the commentators on both sides at my previous post, but less so elsewhere. Jason himself has wound it back a little, but that’s fine too. Rants and polite expressions both have their place.

Larry Moran, who despite our obvious disagreements I count as a friend (and will continue to do so despite his being clearly wrong) has responded. First he defends the Verification Principle and makes my case about the positivist basis for the incompatibilist view. Well and good. If he takes a positivist view, he has a principle that is not scientific, and upon which his entire rejection of other, non-scientific, beliefs rests.

He misreads my view that if you take this approach you have to treat the compatibility of science and religion as an empirical issue, and assumes I am making the argument that this is what it means for science and religion to be consistent. I obviously do not think that – it was a reductio. Clearly the issue is whether or not the tenets of science and religion are compatible logically or reasonably. This cannot be resolved by assertion, such as simply defining religion as irrational and eliminating it from consideration. So we must, out of necessity, insist on religious scientists and philosophers putting their views out there so we can debate the matter.

I wrote: “As an accommodationist, I think that whether or not science and religion should be treated as compatible, in fact they are, or as compatible as any potentially competing set of beliefs may be, such as the belief that science is the only way to gain justifiable beliefs, which is not, itself, scientifically justifiable.” Larry read this thus:

I argue that if you adopt science as a valid way of gathering knowledge then most everything about religion fails the tests of science. Those who claim to be scientists and still believe that there’s a God who answers prayers are expressing two contradictory positions. You can’t claim to be thinking like a scientist while holding on to beliefs that have been refuted by science.

Only I didn’t say that religion is a way of knowing. It may be, if it is true, but I have no dog in that hunt, and I don’t need to. I said that this was about ways to gain justifiable beliefs. PZ Myers, who I also claim as a friend and will be flying to meet when he finishes the Atheism Lovefest in Melbourne (no, I’m not miffed I wasn’t invited to speak, why do you ask?), makes the same mistake – he tries, as Chris Schoen discusses, to show that his love for his wife is a scientific inference. I think there’s a clear is-ought fallacy here; trial and error may explain why Paul and his Trophy Wife[tm] found each other compatible, but the justifiable belief that he loves her is not the result of anything like a scientific inference. It’s what linguistic philosophers call a “performative”: he loves her in virtue of expressing the love. How he got there is beside the point.

A belief can be justifiable in a number of ways – in Wittgensteinian terms, a belief is justified when it satisfies the criteria for that sort of belief among a language community, who have a self-contained set of rules. Chess players have beliefs about what it is wrong to do (you can’t punch the other player, for instance) that are not in any sense scientific. Religious beliefs may be of that kind; that’s for those who care to argue. I don’t need to say they must have ways of knowing, merely that they have beliefs that satisfy some criteria, and we can then talk about those criteria.

Larry thinks I am committed to arguing that Young Earth Creationism is okay, which is a bit nonplussing. I think that if a scientist holds that, say, the second law of thermodynamics is true, and yet thinks that God can overcome the second law in a miracle, he had better think something like “miracles suspend but do not falsify the laws of physics”. In other words, if Miller thinks God did things that are not physically possible, I hope he doesn’t thereby abandon the scientific enterprise, but (having met and talked to the man) I hardly suppose that he does. So he slides under my, but not Larry’s, limbo bar. But a YEC is beyond the pale, because in order to argue for their miracles, they do reject that science can tell us about the world. They have to, since everything we know about the world must be false if they are right. So why would I have to defend them? Their views just are incompatible, explicitly, with science. I am not sure this is true of Millerian views. Miller still does good science, and that’s all I really care about.

Larry also thinks that a failure to reject religion in science is an assertion that religion should be in science. The NCSE has, it seems, people asserting that science and religion are compatible, and therefore they must think that science and religion are the same sort of thing. I don’t get that at all. There is a fallacy known as the argument from ignorance in which not knowing that X is false means knowing that X is true. I think that if NCSE fails to exclude religious belief (yes, because its director and others who work there are often religious themselves), it doesn’t follow they are promoting religion in science, which is a whole other position I don’t see them take.

Then there’s the problem of what counts as “knowledge”. Larry thinks that “Knowledge, in my mind, is a form of justified belief that can be affirmed as true by all people.” There’s a studied ambiguity here. “Can be”? Well if that is the case any theist can say that knowing that God exists “can be” affirmed by all people (indeed, they claim that all people should so affirm). If he means something like must be, then he has a problem with the incompatibilities within science (or your epistemic model of choice – math, logic, whatever): just take the “Birds Are Dinosaurs” debate as an example. I think, and many BAD proponents also think, we know that birds are a clade within the dinosaur clades, and in particular in the theropod clade. But on Larry’s definition, nobody knows this. Since I think that science is fallibilistic, that is fine by me – we’ll just say it is a strong supported hypothesis, but it’s good enough for government work in my book, so I’ll call it knowledge. In fact, I think nearly all knowledge is like this.

Larry, though, wants something more, I think. He wants knowledge to be inescapable, to be a belief that imposes itself on all properly functioning individuals. And that might be fine if the individuals who were religious did, in fact, have some epistemic pathology like schizophrenia. But they don’t. If you want to say that Ken Miller is not a functioning individual, then I say there’s something wrong with your definition of “proper”. If you want to say that he’s not functioning properly in this case then we are right back to the issue at hand. What counts as “rational” is precisely the question.

I think that religion is, on the whole, not rational, as a set of beliefs (but I make an exception for some as-yet-unencountered form of elite philosophical religion that maybe Einstein held), but that doesn’t mean I think that individuals who hold religious beliefs are less rational than I am. Why this is has to do with what is called “bounded rationality” – we all have limited time, capacity and resources to work through every issue, and so I think that a religious person can be as rational as we should expect and yet hold ideas that I think are wrong. In that respect, science and religion are compatible, because we are all (Larry included), boundedly rational. Do I think the religious scientist is right? Obviously not, or I’d be religious. But, and this is the point, they also think the same about me.

Either way, Larry’s positivism, which he at least is open and honest about, is the point of disagreement. PZ is a little less obvious, but I think he, too, has a similar view of what it is to know. Whenever people are called “irrational” or “illogical” for their religious beliefs, the underlying foundation is the view that the only knowledge worth having, and the only way that beliefs can be justified, is through science. Which, to return to my point, is itself an unjustifiable and unscientific belief, about which we can have many happy debates. Civilly.

→ 8 CommentsCategories: Epistemology · Evolution · Logic and philosophy · Metaphysics · Philosophy · Religion · Science · Truisms

On the need for grownups [Thoughts from Kansas]

March 6, 2010 · 49 Comments

Josh Rosenau has a sermon on the perils of attacking those who think science and religion can coexist at On the need for grownups [at Thoughts from Kansas]. It’s a pretty damned good sermon. He points out that the claim that science and religion are incompatible is itself an untested, and hence unscientific claim. It’s a point I would like to discuss a bit.

Keep reading →

→ 49 CommentsCategories: Metaphysics · Philosophy · Politics · Religion

Of course I am

March 6, 2010 · 22 Comments

I am:
Isaac Asimov

One of the most prolific writers in history, on any imaginable subject. Cared little for art but created lasting and memorable tales.

Which science fiction writer are you?

→ 22 CommentsCategories: Humor

The policy policy

March 4, 2010 · 15 Comments

Australian Prime Minister for the Obvious has said that there should be a “zero tolerance” policy against bullying. In other news, a 13 year old Victorian girl who held a kitchen knife to the throat of a 12 year old girl – allegedly – is not to be charged by police, but has been cautioned.

Both my kids were bullied. My son was assaulted every day of his secondary school life, sometimes on school grounds in front of teachers, and at other times at the bus stop just outside the school. All his schools, for we moved him to alleviate the problem, assured us that they had no bullying. Why? Because they had a “policy” against it. It slowly dawned on me that there is a certain mindset among bureaucrats, especially among educationalists, who are bureaucrats par excellence, that I call the “Policy policy”; and it is this:

If you have a policy, then no further action is required. The policy is to have a policy. Actually doing something about the problem is thereby avoided.

We see this in everything. Rather than actually do something, say, police work which requires resources and effort, about terrorism, have a policy against it that you can use to shift the effort and costs to travellers. Rather than deal with actual violence in the streets, have a policy that police cannot apply. Instead of dealing with actual mentally ill people, have a policy. Discrimination? Have a policy, but whatever you do, do not actually impede it.

The policy policy allows governments to look like they are doing something, when in fact they are not interested. It allows managers and administrators to say they have taken action, when at best they have said they would take action and at worst they have merely said something. It allows teachers to turn a blind eye to physical assault – the kind that would land an adult in jail – because they are kids and we “have a policy” against bullying.

And it’s bullshit.

If I had my time over as a parent of school children, I would not only insist on criminal charges being laid against the children (and they should be dealt with as children, and none of this equal bullshit about trying them as adults), and any adult involved who failed in their duty of care to my kids. That would include the headmaster and teacher at the private Anglican school – Woodleigh College – where my daughter was whipped 50 times by her classmates with a branch. I would insist on there being criminal charges of neglect and accessory after the fact, because the teacher and headmaster tried to cover it up and refused to act on my daughter’s complaint. I very nearly assaulted them when I went to have a piece of them. Here it is a decade later andI am still in a white hot fury. I defy them to sue me for defamation, because I’ll have their guts for legal garters if they do.

And then, contrary to the Australian Way as it is, I would sue. I would sue the school, the parents of the children, and where necessary the police and government if they failed to take their duties seriously and institute charges when presented with evidence of crimes. I would ensure that it cost everyone much more than it cost my kids to be bullied. Maybe then the policy policy might bear some fruit.

Beware the policy policy – it is a substitute for action, and possibly the greatest threat to our liberties we have faced in our times. It is how censorship of the internet if being justified in Australia. It is why the PATRIOT Act allowed the rollback of civil rights and rule of law. Instead of actually charging terrorists and testing those claims in a court of law, the US has illegally held whoever it wants with impunity, because they had a policy. Once you give bureaucrats power by a policy they will abuse it – it is only a matter of time.

So, ignore what political idiots say, and look at what they actually propose to do. Do not be misled by the policy policy.

→ 15 CommentsCategories: Censorship · Freedom · Politics · Social dominance
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mtDNA varies in a single individual

March 4, 2010 · 13 Comments

It turns out, according to a recent study, that mitochondrial genomes vary within a single normal individual (human, but we should be able to generalise). What, I wonder, does this mean for the use of DNA barcoding?

→ 13 CommentsCategories: Biology · Genetics · Species and systematics · Species concept · Systematics

Intelligent late night TV

March 3, 2010 · 3 Comments

Bill Benzon at The Valve links to one of the more interesting pieces on TV I have seen – Craig Ferguson interviewing Stephen Fry without a studio audience, and guess what? The conversation goes into smart and educated territory! There’s a lesson to be learned here, I think. Part 2 includes mention of the Principia Mathematica! Knowing Fry from QI, this doesn’t surprise me, but on American Television! As Bill says, it’s the end of the world…

→ 3 CommentsCategories: Logic and philosophy
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Updated Olympics rankings

March 2, 2010 · 24 Comments

I did this before, so I’m adding in the Winter Olympics figures to see who is the most successful per head of population… the results might surprise you, again…

Keep reading →

→ 24 CommentsCategories: Social evolution · trashcan categorial
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Caste in India

March 2, 2010 · 3 Comments

3 Quarks Daily has an excellent essay on the evolution (cultural, of course) of the Varna and Jati system in India. This is often referred to by westerners as “the” caste system.

→ 3 CommentsCategories: Politics · Religion · Social dominance · Social evolution

McCarthy and the autism demon

February 27, 2010 · 1 Comment

Jenny McCarthy has long campaigned against vaccination because her son “acquired” autism after being immunised, and lost the ability to speak. She has since claimed that she has managed to give him (non-medically recognised) therapy that has improved his abilities. She has convinced many credulous people of this.

Except, it turns out, her son may not have had autism after all, but a neurological disease called Landau-Kleffner Syndrome, which, you guessed, sufferers improve as they age – it appears to be a developmental problem of neurological maturation. As this site says: “Most children outgrow the seizures, and electrical brain activity on the EEG usually returns to normal by age 15.” In other words, the entire basis for her campaign was false. She doesn’t appear to be apologetic for the thousands if not tens of thousands of children who have suffered and died as a result of her campaign, though…

[H/T Bora Zivkovic]

→ 1 CommentCategories: Politics · Science
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